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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) | Polyliquid

Polyliquid

Polymarket power terminal

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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

PoliticsDec 31, 2026

Group vol

$6.7M

Liquidity

$1.2M

Outcomes

24

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Starmer - UK PM

94.5%

94c

95c

$14.8K

$23.0K

Petro - Colombia President

1.8%

1.60c

2.00c

$514

$2.8K

Yes2.00c No98.4c

Abbas - President of Palestine

0.80%

0.70c

0.90c

$19.3K

$3.7K

Yes0.90c No99.3c

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

0.75%

0.40c

1.00c

$20.0K

$1.8K

Yes1.00c No99.6c

Netanyahu - Israel PM

0.55%

0.40c

0.70c

$30.7K

$8.6K

Yes0.70c No99.6c

Putin - Russia President

0.45%

0.40c

0.50c

$34.0K

$502.4K

Yes0.50c No99.6c

Trump - USA President

0.40%

0.30c

0.50c

$18.2K

$684.0K

Yes0.50c No99.7c

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

0.30%

0.20c

0.40c

$27.9K

$1.1M

Yes0.40c No99.8c

Sánchez - Spanish PM

0.30%

0.20c

0.40c

$24.0K

$1.3K

Yes0.40c No99.8c

Merz - German Chancellor

0.25%

0.10c

0.40c

$10.7K

$2.5K

Yes0.40c No99.9c

Lecornu - France PM

0.25%

0.20c

0.30c

$25.0K

$2.5K

Yes0.30c No99.8c

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

0.15%

0.10c

0.20c

$13.0K

$4.4M

Yes0.20c No99.9c

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

0.15%

0.10c

0.20c

$11.1K

$3.6K

Yes0.20c No99.9c

al-Sharaa - Syria President

0.15%

0.10c

0.20c

$12.6K

$2.7K

Yes0.20c No99.9c

None before 2027

0.15%

0.10c

0.20c

$35.2K

$1.7K

Yes0.20c No99.9c

Newsom - California Governor

0.05%

--

0.10c

$10.2K

$77.9K

Albanese - Australia PM

0.05%

--

0.10c

$6.5K

$72.3K

Takaichi - Japan PM

0.05%

--

0.10c

$2.5K

$12.2K

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

0.05%

--

0.10c

$6.5K

$4.5K

Milei - Argentina President

0.05%

--

0.10c

$23.7K

$3.3K

Macron - France President

0.05%

--

0.10c

$231

$2.8K

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

0.05%

--

0.10c

$16.8K

$2.3K

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

0.05%

--

0.10c

$4.2K

$1.3K

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

0.05%

--

0.10c

$1.0K

$331

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Yes·Yes

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